Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Final Score & Over/Under Result — Dec 28, 2025

Jaren Jackson Jr.'s 31-point, 8-rebound performance led Memphis within striking distance, but it wasn't enough to push past Washington in a game that came in well short of expectations. The Wizards won 116–112, combining for just 228 points against a market total of 241.5—a decisive 13.5-point shortfall that DAGGER called correctly with an UNDER lean.

The game's tempo told the story through its halves. A spirited first half saw both offenses find rhythm, combining for 119 points with a particularly explosive second quarter that yielded 67 combined points—the game's highest-scoring frame. That hot stretch masked what would become a second-half grind: the teams combined for just 109 points across the final two quarters, with the third quarter especially sluggish at 53 combined. Memphis couldn't sustain its offensive push; after Jackson's dominant display, Ja Morant chipped in 21 points and 7 assists, but the Grizzlies managed only 24 points in the fourth. Alex Sarr (20 pts, 9 reb) and CJ McCollum (16 pts, 5 ast) anchored Washington's defense-first approach in the second half, as the home side pulled away late.

The result aligned with Memphis's recent defensive strength—they've held opponents to 114.4 per game over their last ten—and Washington's scoring struggles, averaging just 113.7. Even so, the Wizards' ability to tighten the screws down the stretch and the Grizzlies' fourth-quarter collapse made this a decidedly lower-scoring affair than the market had priced.