Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Final Score & Over/Under Result — Dec 31, 2025

The market had backed this one high at 229.5, but Denver and Toronto had other ideas. The Nuggets' 32-point opening quarter and Toronto's 23 suggested early offensive intent, yet the combined 55 points in Q1 signaled caution. That restraint only deepened as the game wore on: while Q2 brought a brief offensive flurry at 62 combined points, Q3 cratered to just 47, and Q4 limped to 45. The final combined total of 209 landed a clean 20.5 points under the number, validating DAGGER's pregame lean to the under.

Denver's offense, averaging 126.2 per game over its last 10, couldn't sustain pace against Toronto's disciplined recent defense (110.9 allowed). Peyton Watson led the Nuggets with 24 points and 8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray added 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists. Denver's last-quarter retreat to just 21 points proved decisive. Toronto countered with Brandon Ingram's team-high 30 points and 8 rebounds, Immanuel Quickley's 22 points, and Scottie Barnes's 20 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists—a balanced offensive load that still couldn't overcome Denver's 106-103 edge. The Raptors' 108.5 scoring average held up despite the contest's defensive tone, but Denver's closing buckets proved enough in a low-scoring second half that foreshadowed the under's comfortable cash.