Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 7, 2026

The market total of 230.5 looked vulnerable from the opening tip. Boston and Denver combined for 66 points in the first quarter—a brisk pace that suggested the over might be in play—but the second quarter told a different story. The two teams managed just 50 combined points in Q2, a significant deceleration that set the tone for a defensive tug-of-war. By halftime, the combined 116 points had already undercut what the market needed on a per-half basis, and Denver's 114-110 advantage masked a much tighter overall scoring environment.

The second half proved even more restrictive. Q3 produced only 45 combined points, the lowest-scoring frame of the night, as both teams tightened their rotations and execution faltered. Denver stormed back in Q4 with 35 combined points to steal a 114-110 victory, but the damage was done: the final combined total of 224 landed 6.5 points under the number. DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed.

Peyton Watson led Denver with 30 points and 6 rebounds, while Jamal Murray added 22 points, 8 rebounds, and 17 assists. Jaylen Brown paced Boston with 33 points and 7 rebounds; Payton Pritchard and Derrick White chipped in 17 points apiece. Despite Denver's recent pace (121.1 points per game in its last 10), and Boston's solid defense (109.6 allowed), the game never found consistent rhythm—a stark departure from Denver's league-worst 123.7 points-allowed average.