Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 14, 2026

Toronto's win in Indianapolis followed a volatile recent pattern between these teams. The Raptors and Pacers had alternated between defensive slugfests and offensive showcases in their first two meetings this season—a 192-point total on November 26 and a 240-point explosion on November 15—leaving the market uncertain about which version would show up. This game landed decisively on the low end: the Raptors won 115–101 for a combined 216 points, sailing under the 220.5 market total by 4.5. DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed.

The first half held steady, with teams combining for 115 points through 24 minutes—well-paced but not runaway scoring. Q2 was the half's high point at 58 combined, yet neither team pulled away. The second half pivoted sharply downward. Q3 matched the first half's opening quarter at 57 combined points, but Q4 collapsed to just 44, draining momentum and volume as Indiana's defense tightened and Toronto managed the lead. Brandon Ingram paced Toronto with 30 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists, while Scottie Barnes added 26 points with a team-high 13 assists and 7 rebounds. Pascal Siakam led the Pacers with 26 points and 10 rebounds, but lacked the supporting firepower—Andrew Nembhard and Quenton Jackson combined for just 28 points.

Indiana's recent form (115.8 points per game over 10 games) proved predictive; the Pacers stayed below their season-long pace, unable to ignite consistent offense against Toronto's structure.