New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 16, 2026

Jay Huff's 29 points and 9 rebounds powered Indiana past New Orleans in a game that defied pregame expectations, with the Pacers edging out the Pelicans 127–119 for a combined 246 points. DAGGER leaned under 241.5 and missed as the matchup climbed to the over by 4.5.

The second quarter was the inflection point. Both teams combined for 75 points in that frame alone, nearly a third of the game's total output, lifting the halves to 139 combined in the first half. That early offensive barrage set the tone; the second half sagged to just 107 combined as Indiana's defense tightened while New Orleans struggled to keep pace. Huff's interior dominance, paired with Pascal Siakam's 27 points and 5 assists, gave the Pacers multiple scoring avenues. The Pelicans countered with their own balanced attack—Zion Williamson's 27 points, 7 assists and Trey Murphy III's 22 points kept them in range through three quarters, but the fourth-quarter combined output dropped to 51 points, spelling the difference.

Indiana's recent form (113.7 points per game over ten) and New Orleans' elevated defensive struggles (120.9 allowed per game) created a split forecast. The head-to-head history suggested a tighter affair; the teams had met earlier this season at 237 combined. This time, a stacked offensive first half pushed the total just over the number, even as both teams cooled significantly after halftime.