Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 7, 2026

Final · NBA · Tip-off 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Golden State Warriors logoGSW
97-104

Final Total: 201

Oklahoma City Thunder logoOKC
Pregame Total Line
220.5
UNDER
DAGGER Pregame Pick
UNDER
DAGGER Live Signals
No Signals

Market total moved 220.5 ↓ 219.5 (down) from open to tip-off.

under — the Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder combined for 201, under the 220.5 total.

Game Recap

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 27 points and efficient floor game carried Oklahoma City to a 104–97 victory over Golden State, capping a defensive second half that dismantled what had been a competitive matchup. The Thunder's star, who added 5 rebounds and 5 assists, anchored a second-half collapse by the Warriors that proved decisive in sending the game well under the 220.5 pregame total.

The game unfolded in two distinct halves. A high-octane first half produced 121 combined points, with Q1 alone reaching 62 points as both teams traded buckets. Golden State stayed within striking distance behind Gui Santos's 22 points and 11 rebounds, along with contributions from Brandin Podziemski (17 pts, 6 ast) and Draymond Green (16 pts, 5 ast). But the second half turned into a grind: the combined second half yielded only 80 points, with Q4 managing just 32 combined points. Oklahoma City's depth—Isaiah Joe chipped in 18 points, Kenrich Williams added 13—tightened the screws defensively as Golden State managed only 14 points in the final quarter.

The combined total landed at 201, marking a decisive 19.5-point under against the market. DAGGER leaned under and cashed, capturing a game that mirrored Oklahoma City's recent form (allowing 106.5 per game over its last ten contests) while exposing the Warriors' perimeter vulnerabilities.

Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors2826291497
Oklahoma City Thunder34331918104

Top Performers

#PlayerPosTeamPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PM
#15Gui SantosFGSW22113202
#2Brandin PodziemskiGGSW1766203
#23Draymond GreenFGSW1645204
#2Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGOKC2755111
#11Isaiah JoeGOKC1843002
#34Kenrich WilliamsG-FOKC1371002

Recent Team Form

TeamScoredAllowed
GSWaway(10)112.3116.3
OKChome(10)113.3106.5
Scored sum225.6vs 220.5(+5.1)
Allowed sum222.8vs 220.5(+2.3)

Previous Matchups

1 Over1 Under
DateMatchupAwayHomeTotalLine
Jan 2, 2026OKC@GSW13194225226.5
Dec 2, 2025OKC@GSW124112236223.5
Nov 11, 2025GSW@OKC102126228
Averages119.0110.7229.7225.0