Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 10, 2026

The market total of 218.5 proved too optimistic for this defensive-minded meeting, as Toronto and Houston combined for just 212 points—a 6.5-point underperformance that reflected a grind-it-out second half despite an early pace that suggested otherwise. The total climbed to 220.5 by tip-off, but neither team's offense found sustained rhythm once the game tightened.

Houston's 29-point opening quarter and Toronto's matching 29 set a brisk tone, combining for 58 in Q1. The pace cratered in Q2, however, with only 49 combined points as defensive pressure mounted; the halves finished 107-105 in favor of the first. A Q3 surge to 62 combined points—the game's highest-scoring quarter—pulled the total back toward par, with RJ Barrett (25 pts, 6 reb, 1 ast) and Scottie Barnes (24 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast) leading Toronto's charge while Kevin Durant's 29 points and 8 rebounds anchored Houston's output. Amen Thompson added 23 points and 6 assists for the Rockets; Jabari Smith Jr. chipped in 23 points and 4 rebounds.

The decisive collapse came in Q4, when only 43 combined points were scored—a 19-point swing from Q3's pace. Houston's defense clamped down in the final stretch, holding Toronto to just 16 fourth-quarter points en route to a 113-99 win. DAGGER leaned over 218.5 pregame and missed as the total finished well short of expectations.