Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 11, 2026

Denver's dominance in the third quarter proved decisive, as the Nuggets pulled away from Houston in a game that finished well short of expectations. The combined 222 points landed under the 230.5 market total by 8.5, with the line moving to 231.5 by tipoff. DAGGER had leaned over and missed.

The first half stayed measured, with 100 combined points through two quarters before the pace quickened in the third. Denver and Houston combined for 62 points in Q3—the game's highest-scoring frame—and the Nuggets used that surge to build separation. Denver's 40 third-quarter points, coupled with Houston's 22 in the same period, gave Denver the edge needed to coast to a 129–93 victory. The fourth quarter brought another 60 combined points as the margin was already decided.

Jamal Murray led Denver's effort with 30 points and 4 assists, while Christian Braun and Cameron Johnson added 19 and 17 points respectively. For Houston, Amen Thompson managed 16 points with 5 rebounds and 4 assists, and Josh Okogie chipped in 12 points off the bench. The Rockets' offense never found rhythm; they scored just 20 and 27 in the first two quarters combined. Denver's recent form—averaging 119.7 points per game over its last 10—aligned with its third-quarter burst here, while Houston's 115.2-point average fell short in a familiar defensive matchup between these West Division rivals.