New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 13, 2026

The market expected a track meet—a 228.5 combined total that reflected New York's recent offensive firepower and Indiana's leaky perimeter defense. Instead, a grind-it-out Knicks win at 101-92 delivered a punishing 35.5-point shortfall, with the combined score landing at just 193. DAGGER's pregame lean to the over proved costly.

The second quarter was the game's only real scoring burst: 56 combined points as the Knicks built early separation behind Jalen Brunson's 29-point, 9-assist night and OG Anunoby's 25-point, 8-rebound effort. New York held a 56-56 advantage through halftime despite Indiana's balanced attack from Jarace Walker (18 points, 9 rebounds). But the second half was all defense. The third quarter fell to 49 combined, and the fourth crumbled to just 43, as the Knicks' 112-game defensive rating asserted itself and the Pacers' 126.5 per-game allowed came into sharp focus. Mitchell Robinson's 22-rebound anchoring gave New York the glass and rhythm; Indiana's Aaron Nesmith and Ivica Zubac (11 and 8 rebounds respectively) couldn't generate the pace this number required.

Recent head-to-head meetings had totaled 271 and 227 points. This one landed well below both, a reminder that even strong context clues—and a full-point pick for the over—can misread a defense-first execution.