Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks Final Score & Over/Under Result — Oct 14, 2026

Chicago's 125–104 victory in Milwaukee represented a decisive 21-point road win, though the game's offensive rhythm told a more nuanced story about how the Bucks and Bulls reached a combined 229 points—3.5 below the 232.5 market total.

The first half established competitive scoring: the combined 101 points across 24 minutes masked a 14-point Chicago lead, with the Bulls' 38-point second quarter outpacing Milwaukee's 24. That burst proved pivotal. The third quarter became the game's high-water mark, combining for 79 points as both offenses attacked freely—Chicago's 40 and Milwaukee's 39 in the frame—but the Bucks still trailed by double digits entering the fourth. There, scoring dried up sharply. The fourth quarter managed just 49 combined points, a 30-point drop-off from Q3, as Milwaukee's comeback bid stalled. Kam Jones led the Bucks with 23 points and Kasparas Jakučionis added 18 with 6 assists, but Chicago's balanced scoring—Matas Buzelis (19 pts, 3 ast), Leonard Miller (18 pts, 7 reb), and Norman Powell (16 pts)—proved too much.

DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed. The Bucks' recent defensive profile (118.1 allowed per 10 games) and the Bulls' modest scoring average (116.3 per 10) aligned with a total that fell just shy of the consensus mark, sealed by that fourth-quarter offensive collapse.