Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Final Score & Over/Under Result — Oct 16, 2026

The market opened at 225.5, and after climbing to 227.5 by tipoff, the evening's scoring trajectory immediately suggested an over was in play. Golden State and Portland combined for 61 points in the first quarter alone, setting an early pace that would sustain throughout. The Warriors' 35-point opening frame and the Blazers' 26 established a rhythm neither team would abandon, even as the game tightened defensively in the fourth.

The third quarter proved decisive in the over's success. After a balanced first half that saw 125 combined points, Golden State and Portland erupted for 71 points in Q3—the game's highest-scoring period—pushing the combined total well above the closing number. Stephen Curry paced the Warriors with 20 points, 4 rebounds, and 5 assists, while Y. Lendeborg added 17 points and 5 assists. Portland's D. Lillard led the Blazers with 23 points despite modest peripheral numbers, and Ja Morant contributed 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. Scoot Henderson chipped in 17 points for Portland. A late-game cooldown in the fourth—just 50 combined points—couldn't halt the over's momentum. Golden State's 128-118 victory concluded at 246 combined points, 20.5 points north of the market total. DAGGER leaned over, and it cashed decisively.