Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Final Score & Over/Under Result — Oct 22, 2026

The market opened at 236.5, and the game spent no time indulging that number. Denver and Oklahoma City combined for just 51 points in the first quarter—a brutally slow start that immediately signaled a lower-scoring affair. The second quarter proved even more anemic: only 41 combined points, as both offenses stumbled through a 92-point first half. The Thunder and Nuggets never recovered momentum. A 42-point third quarter and 46-point fourth maintained the sluggish pace, leaving the final combined total at 180, a crushing 56.5 points short of the over.

Jalen Williams led Oklahoma City with 21 points and 5 rebounds, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 17 points and 3 assists. Denver leaned on Aaron Gordon's 20 points and 6 rebounds, though Nikola Jokić (13 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists) and DeMar DeRozan (13 points) offered little offensive spark. Chet Holmgren was a rebounding force with 17 boards to complement his 12 points. The Thunder won 96–84, but the decisive battle was against pace and efficiency, not opponent defense. DAGGER leaned under pregame and cashed on a quarter-by-quarter basis as well—the model spotted the mismatch early and never looked back.