Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Final Score & Over/Under Result — May 9, 2026

The market total of 167.5 came in high—a tell that oddsmakers expected a more wide-open affair than what unfolded. Phoenix's explosive first quarter (27 combined points) helped push the combined total to 48 in Q1, keeping pace with the pregame number, but Las Vegas never found rhythm offensively. The Mercury's second-quarter assault (29 points, part of a 91-point first half) extended their lead and forced the tempo into something more controlled. By the time the two teams combined for just 37 points in each of the final two quarters, the under at 165 total points was a clear winner—DAGGER's pregame call cashed.

Alyssa Thomas orchestrated Phoenix's offense with 20 points, 9 assists, and 6 rebounds, while Jovana Nogic added 19 points and DeWanna Bonner chipped in 13 points and 7 boards. A'ja Wilson led Las Vegas with 19 points and 4 rebounds, but the Aces managed only 66 points—well below their season average of 88.8 allowed per game. Phoenix's defense, holding Vegas to under 21 points in three of four quarters, was the decisive factor. The final 99–66 scoreline reflected a game that never reached the offensive elevation the total had priced in, with both teams combining for just 74 points after halftime.