New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Final Score & Over/Under Result — May 12, 2026

The market had settled at 174.5, but New York and Portland made clear early that the pace would run hotter. Combined scoring of 48 points in the first quarter set an immediate over trajectory, and by halftime the two teams had combined for 101 points—already 26.5 points ahead of the closing line. Portland's offense hummed in the second quarter as the combined 53 points (the game's highest-scoring frame) pushed the first-half total well into over territory, leaving little doubt about which direction the total would land.

Bridget Carleton led Portland's attack with 26 points and 1 rebound, while Carla Leite added 21 points and 6 assists in the Fire's 98-point effort. New York countered with Pauline Astier's team-high 24 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Marine Johannes chipped in 18 points and 4 assists and Jonquel Jones contributed 17 points and 7 rebounds. The second half proved tighter—a combined 93 points across the two quarters—but the early offensive barrage had already sealed the outcome.

Portland held on for a 98–96 victory, with the final combined total of 194 landing well over the market. DAGGER had leaned under pregame and missed as the game's pace never relented, particularly through the middle quarters. The Liberty's recent 10-game scoring average of 80.0 points paired with Portland's sluggish recent form (79.7 scored over three games) suggested constraint, but neither team cooperated with that projection.