Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Final Score & Over/Under Result — May 15, 2026

The third quarter swung the game decisively. Connecticut and Las Vegas combined for 52 points—the game's highest-scoring frame—but the Aces exploited that surge more effectively, pulling away on a night when the market expected a lower-scoring affair. Las Vegas won 101-94, and the combined 195 crushed the 172.5 pregame total by 22.5 points.

The Sun had kept pace through the first two quarters, with combined scoring at 48 and 50 respectively for a balanced 98-point first half. But the third-quarter explosion gave Vegas breathing room. A'ja Wilson led the Aces with a dominant 45 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Chennedy Carter added 18 points and Jackie Young chipped in 13 points with 6 rebounds and 6 assists. Connecticut's Hailey Van Lith scored 17 points and distributed 4 assists, and Saniya Rivers contributed 14 points and 7 assists, but it proved insufficient against Wilson's onslaught. The fourth quarter cooled to 45 combined points as Vegas held firm down the stretch.

DAGGER leaned under pregame and missed. Vegas entered this matchup having allowed 87.3 points per game over its last ten, while Connecticut had scored just 73.7 in that span—a profile suggesting a tighter total. The Aces' recent 98-69 victory over the Sun in May also hinted at constraint. Instead, the offensive pace and Wilson's near-historic scoring day pushed well above the closing number.