Seattle Storm vs Indiana Fever Final Score & Over/Under Result — May 17, 2026

Indiana's defense tightened considerably in the second half, holding Seattle to just 34 combined points after the teams combined for 99 in an explosive opening half. The Fever won 89–78 with a combined total of 167, landing well under the pregame market of 176.5—a defensive grind that departed sharply from Indiana's recent form, in which opponents averaged 90.6 points per game over their last ten outings.

The first quarter set a frenetic pace, with 51 combined points flowing freely as both offenses found rhythm early. Caitlin Clark orchestrated Indiana's attack with 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 10 assists, while Sophie Cunningham added 17 and Kelsey Mitchell chipped in 17 as well. Seattle kept pace through the second quarter—the teams combined for 48 points—but the Fever's defense began to suffocate the Storm from there. Q3 saw only 36 combined points, and a brutal fourth quarter of just 32 combined points sealed the outcome. Natisha Hiedeman led Seattle with 19 points, Zia Cooke contributed 13 with 4 assists, and Flau'jae Johnson grabbed 6 rebounds in a losing effort.

DAGGER's pregame call for the over came up short, but the model's live adjustment cashed. The second-half collapse—where Seattle managed just 34 points across two quarters—proved decisive in a game that fell 9.5 points shy of the market total.