Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Final Score & Over/Under Result — May 24, 2026

A defensive third quarter—the two teams combining for just 25 points—set the tone for what became a back-and-forth defensive affair. Phoenix and Atlanta combined for 81 points in the first half, then matched that output exactly in the second half, landing at 162 combined, well below the 169.5 market total. DAGGER's pregame lean to the under cashed.

The quarter-by-quarter arc told the story: Q1 was brisk at 38 combined, Q2 stayed elevated at 43, but Q3 slowed sharply to 25. That defensive lull proved crucial; had the pace held, the total would have sailed over. Q4 erupted to 56 combined points, but by then the damage was done. Rhyne Howard led Atlanta with 21 points and 8 rebounds, while Allisha Gray added 18 points. Angel Reese chipped in 17 points and 10 rebounds. For Phoenix, Alyssa Thomas recorded a near triple-double—20 points, 12 rebounds, and 7 assists—and Kahleah Copper added 20 points. Phoenix entered averaging 86.9 points per game over its last 10, but the Dream's stout defense (78.1 allowed) held sway. Atlanta's 82-80 victory came down to execution in the margin, with both teams' offensive limitations—especially in the third—proving the decisive factor against the inflated pregame number.