Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 5, 2026

Indiana's 84-68 road victory in Las Vegas was a blowout that fell well short of the market's expectations. The combined 152 points came in 27.5 points under the 179.5 total, as both teams struggled to generate consistent offensive rhythm despite the Fever's dominant defensive performance.

The opening quarter set a competitive tone with 47 combined points, the game's highest-scoring frame, but the second half belonged entirely to Indiana's defense. After a balanced first half (83 combined), the second half cratered to just 69 combined points—a 14-point swing that decided the outcome. Q3 proved decisive for Indiana: the Fever outscored Las Vegas 26-14 in that quarter alone, pushing their lead beyond recovery. Kelsey Mitchell led the charge with 27 points and 3 assists, while Aliyah Boston contributed a double-double of 18 points and 10 rebounds. For the Aces, Jackie Young's 15 points and 4 assists couldn't compensate for a stagnant offense; Jewell Loyd added 12 points in a largely ineffective Las Vegas effort.

Indiana's recent form—96.8 points per game over their last 10—aligned with a disciplined, controlled performance, while Las Vegas's 88.4 allowed per game proved prescient. DAGGER's pregame OVER call missed decisively, but the live model captured the dramatic shift in scoring momentum, hitting on the adjustment as the second half unfolded into a defensive showcase.