Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 9, 2026

Indiana's 92-89 road victory over Phoenix was decided in a wide-open first half that set the tone for a battle between two offenses moving in opposite directions. The combined 100 points in the first two quarters—52 in the opening quarter alone—established an early pace that the Mercury could not sustain down the stretch. Phoenix's recent form of 86.1 points allowed per game proved vulnerable against Indiana's league-leading 99.1 scoring average, and the Fever made it count, with Kelsey Mitchell draining 29 points and dishing 8 assists while Aliyah Boston added 21 points and 9 rebounds to pace the upset.

The second half tightened considerably, with just 81 combined points across the final two quarters as both teams cooled. Phoenix kept pace early through Alyssa Thomas's all-around 22 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists and Kahleah Copper's 22 points, but Indiana's depth—Tyasha Harris contributed 15 points and 5 assists off the bench—proved decisive. The final combined 181 points sailed well above the market total of 171.5, cashing the OVER by 9.5. DAGGER leaned over pregame and again on the live side, and both calls cashed. Indiana's 220-point effort against Phoenix in late June offered no predictive value; the Fever's 163-point slugfest on the 22nd proved a closer relative to this defensive second half, yet the early offensive volume proved the difference.