Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 9, 2026

The market total of 174.5 set a high bar for a Las Vegas–Portland matchup that never quite reached it. Las Vegas won 88–80, combining for just 168 points—landing 6.5 below the number despite late-game scoring activity. DAGGER's pregame lean to the under cashed, and the call held through a closing quarter that felt deceptively high-scoring.

The first half told the real story. Q1 opened briskly at 41 combined points, but Q2 throttled back to 37, leaving the teams at 78 combined through two quarters—already 10 points short of the full-game projection. Las Vegas, led by A'ja Wilson's 32 points and 10 rebounds alongside Jackie Young's 11 assists and 19 points, controlled the first half. Portland's Carla Leite (13 pts, 5 ast) and Megan Gustafson (11 pts) kept the Fire within reach, but the pace and efficiency weren't there. Q3 added 43 combined points as both teams found rhythm, but Q4's 47-point explosion—Portland's 28 to Las Vegas's 19—came too late to flip the script. By then, the Aces' cushion was built. NaLyssa Smith's 16 points and the depth of Las Vegas proved decisive. Portland's recent form (85.7 ppg) and Las Vegas's balanced offensive and defensive profile (87.7 ppg, 87.9 allowed) predicted a controlled affair, and that's what delivered: a total that stayed low despite a frantic finish.