Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 10, 2026

Final · WNBA · Tip-off 7:30 PM ET at Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT

Golden State Valkyries logoGSV17-7
79-64

Final Total: 143

Connecticut Sun logoCON5-18
Pregame Total Line
153.5
UNDER
DAGGER Pregame Pick
OVER
DAGGER Live Signals
0 - 2
0% Correct

Market total moved 153.5 → 153.5 (no move) from open to tip-off.

under — the Golden State Valkyries and Connecticut Sun combined for 143, under the 153.5 total.

Game Recap

Veronica Burton's command of Golden State's offense—17 points, 6 assists, and 3 rebounds—proved decisive in a second-half eruption that sent the Valkyries past Connecticut 79–64, a combined 143 that fell well short of the 153.5 market total. The game's texture shifted dramatically after halftime: the first half produced just 55 combined points, a sluggish 36 in Q1 and a meager 19 in Q2, but the second half accelerated violently into a 88-point affair, with Q3 alone totaling 43 and Q4 closing at 45. Golden State's third-quarter surge—24 points to Connecticut's 19—broke the game open, and the Valkyries' 25-point fourth quarter put it beyond reach.

For Connecticut, Diamond Miller led the Sun with 14 points, while Olivia Nelson-Ododa contributed a game-high 8 rebounds alongside 12 points and 4 assists. Janelle Salaun added 16 points and 7 boards for Golden State. The Valkyries, fresh off a 27-point loss to the same opponent on May 25 (that game totaled 167), recalibrated their defense and controlled pace in a way that kept scoring suppressed overall. DAGGER's pregame call for an over missed by 10.5 points, but a live adjustment cashed. Connecticut's recent form—84.8 scored per game over its last 10—proved optimistic; Golden State's stiffer defense kept the Sun well below that mark en route to what amounted to a second-half clinic in shot-clock management and efficiency.

Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Valkyries1713242579
Connecticut Sun196192064

Top Performers

#PlayerPosTeamPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PM
#22Veronica BurtonGGSV1736121
#13Janelle SalaunFGSV1671314
#6Kaila CharlesG-FGSV951101
#1Diamond MillerFCON1430001
#10Olivia Nelson-OdodaCCON1284110
#8Aaliyah EdwardsFCON1120201

Over/Under Line Movement

130140150160Q1Q2Q3Q4153.5 Pregame

Recent Team Form

TeamScoredAllowed
GSVaway(10)77.972.6
CONhome(10)84.885.0
Scored sum162.7vs 153.5(+9.2)
Allowed sum157.6vs 153.5(+4.1)

Previous Matchups

1 Over0 Under
DateMatchupAwayHomeTotalLine
May 25, 2026CON@GSV7097167158.5
Averages70.097.0167.0158.5