Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 13, 2026
Final · WNBA · Tip-off 9:00 PM ET at Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Final Total: 204
Market total moved 169.5 → 169.5 (no move) from open to tip-off.
over — the Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx combined for 204, over the 169.5 total.
Game Recap
The fourth quarter ignited a slugfest that pushed this contest well past expectations. Minnesota and Phoenix combined for 60 points in the final frame—a 15-point surge over the third quarter's combined 45—as the Lynx held off the Mercury 104-100. The offensive eruption proved decisive: the game's first half combined for 99 points, but the second half generated 105, with that closing quarter providing the decisive scoring environment that sent the combined total to 204, a massive 34.5 points clear of the 169.5 market line. DAGGER leaned over, and it cashed.
Kayla McBride led Minnesota's charge with 37 points and 6 rebounds, while Olivia Miles added 33 points and 8 assists. Phoenix's Kahleah Copper paced the visitors with 26 points, supported by Alyssa Thomas's all-around 19 points, 8 rebounds, and 12 assists. DeWanna Bonner chipped in 17 points and 9 rebounds for the Mercury. The Lynx's recent form—averaging 88.0 points scored and 82.3 allowed over their last ten games—suggested offensive firepower, and they delivered when it mattered most. Phoenix, averaging 85.1 scored and 88.7 allowed over the same span, couldn't quite match that fourth-quarter intensity. The early head-to-head meetings this season (a 111-77 Lynx win totaling 188, and an 88-84 MIN victory totaling 172) hinted at volatility; this edition proved the wildcard, as the two teams collapsed the gap late and exploded the total.
Box Score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 100 | |
| 21 | 29 | 19 | 35 | 104 |
Top Performers
| # | Player | Pos | Team | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Kahleah Copper | G-F | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| #25 | Alyssa Thomas | F | 19 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| #24 | DeWanna Bonner | F-G | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| #21 | Kayla McBride | G | 37 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| #5 | Olivia Miles | G | 33 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| #1 | Natasha Howard | F | 13 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Over/Under Line Movement
Recent Team Form
| Team | Scored | Allowed |
|---|---|---|
| 85.1 | 88.7 | |
| 88.0 | 82.3 | |
| Scored sum | 173.1 | vs 169.5(+3.6) |
| Allowed sum | 171.0 | vs 169.5(+1.5) |
Previous Matchups
| Date | Matchup | Away | Home | Total | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | 111 | 77 | 188 | 166.5 | |
| May 12, 2026 | 88 | 84 | 172 | 168.5 | |
| Averages | 99.5 | 80.5 | 180.0 | 167.5 | |