Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 16, 2026

A matchup between two teams trending in opposite directions delivered a defensive grind that bore little resemblance to their recent offensive pace. Portland has been averaging 89.3 points per game over its last ten, while Washington has held opponents to 79.1—yet the two teams combined for just 131 points, landing 31.5 points under the 162.5 market total. DAGGER's pregame lean toward the over did not cash.

The game's complexion was set in the first quarter, when the teams combined for 41 points, the game's highest-scoring period. From there, offense dried up sharply. The second quarter yielded 37 combined points, but the second half collapsed entirely: just 26 combined in the third quarter and 27 in the fourth. Portland's defense smothered Washington's attack, holding the Mystics to 56 total points despite Shakira Austin's 19 points and 9 rebounds. Carla Leite led Portland with 14 points and 5 assists, while Serah Williams added 12 points and 5 rebounds. Washington's Sonia Citron chipped in 8 points and 6 rebounds off the bench. The first half ended at 78 combined; the second half managed only 53. Portland's 75-56 victory was built on a suffocating second-half defense that made the recent 247-point head-to-head meeting between these teams feel like ancient history.