Portland Fire vs Minnesota Lynx Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 18, 2026

Bridget Carleton's 22 points led a Portland offensive surge in the fourth quarter, but it came too late: Minnesota held on for a 101–93 victory, pushing the combined total to 194 and sending the game well over the 174.5 market line by 19.5 points. The Lynx built early separation through the first three quarters, with Minnesota's defense limiting the Fire to just 16 points in Q1 and 21 in Q3. Kayla McBride anchored that effort with 24 points for the hosts, while Carla Leite kept Portland afloat with 21 points and 7 assists across the contest.

The second half, however, belonged to the scoreboard. After a relatively measured first half—86 combined points through 24 minutes—the pace accelerated dramatically. Q3 saw 49 combined points, then Q4 exploded to 59 combined, as Portland mounted a desperate fourth-quarter rally with 33 points to Minnesota's 26. Sarah Ashlee Barker (21 points, 4 rebounds) and Courtney Williams (15 points, 7 assists) fueled their respective offenses down the stretch. DAGGER's pregame call for an under missed the mark, but the model's live adjustment ultimately cashed, capturing the late-game volatility that transformed a defensive first three quarters into a high-scoring final frame.