Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 22, 2026

Connecticut's defense collapsed early, and Indiana seized the opening quarter to set a tone that would prove insurmountable. The combined 62 points in Q1 sparked what became a rout, with the Fever building a foundation neither team could reverse. Indiana's opening-quarter output of 36 points established control that Connecticut never threatened to reclaim, despite Connecticut's own 26-point start.

The game's trajectory was baked in by halftime. A combined 116 first-half points meant the night was shaping as a high-scoring affair, but the second half told a different story: only 95 combined points across the final 24 minutes, with each quarter declining—Q3 fell to 50, Q4 to 45. Indiana's balanced scoring attack, led by Caitlin Clark's 27 points and 11 assists alongside Kelsey Mitchell's 23 points and Aliyah Boston's 22 points and 6 rebounds, overwhelmed Connecticut's individual efforts. Diamond Miller's 15 points and Saniya Rivers' 13 points with 6 assists weren't enough to compensate for Connecticut's 89.6 defensive average over their last ten games—on this night, that proved prophetic.

The final combined 211 blew past the 178.5 market total by 32.5 points, cashing as an OVER. DAGGER's pregame UNDER call missed, but the model's live adjustment proved prescient, hitting decisively once the first quarter's tone became evident. Indiana's 97.6-per-game scoring average held true; Connecticut, held to 88, fell well short of their recent 82.3-point norm.