New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 30, 2026

Final · WNBA · Tip-off 10:00 PM ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV

New York Liberty logoNYL16-13
99-104

Final Total: 203

Las Vegas Aces logoLVA20-8
Pregame Total Line
182.5
OVER
DAGGER Pregame Pick
UNDER
DAGGER Live Signals
5 - 0
100% Correct

Market total moved 182.5 → 182.5 (no move) from open to tip-off.

over — the New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces combined for 203, over the 182.5 total.

Game Recap

A'ja Wilson and Jackie Young carried Las Vegas past New York in a fourth-quarter shootout, combining for 62 points as the Aces escaped with a 104-99 victory. The deciding margin emerged in the second half, where the two teams combined for 107 points across 24 minutes—a stark flip from the first half's deliberate 96-point pace. The fourth quarter proved most critical: both sides poured in 54 combined points, with Wilson finishing with 33 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists, while Young added 29 points and 9 assists to seal the result.

New York's Breanna Stewart led the Liberty with 26 points and 11 rebounds, and Pauline Astier chipped in 19 points with 4 assists, but they couldn't match the Aces' closing punch. The contest landed at 203 combined points, well above the 182.5 market total—an over by 20.5 that came after the teams had combined for a modest 53 points in the first quarter and just 43 in the second. DAGGER's pregame lean on the under missed, but a live adjustment during play cashed. Las Vegas had allowed 92.7 per game to opponents over the past ten contests, yet the Liberty fell just short of exploiting that vulnerability despite their own recent 90.7 scoring average.

Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New York Liberty2618272899
Las Vegas Aces27252626104

Top Performers

#PlayerPosTeamPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PM
#30Breanna StewartFNYL26111311
#18Pauline AstierGNYL1914201
#20Sabrina IonescuGNYL1545001
#22A'ja WilsonCLVA33106121
#0Jackie YoungGLVA2929203
#12Chelsea GrayGLVA1634004

Over/Under Line Movement

190200Q1Q2Q3Q4182.5 Pregame

Recent Team Form

TeamScoredAllowed
NYLaway(10)90.792.7
LVAhome(10)93.387.9
Scored sum184.0vs 182.5(+1.5)
Allowed sum180.6vs 182.5(-1.9)

Previous Matchups

1 Over1 Under
DateMatchupAwayHomeTotalLine
Jun 30, 2026LVA@NYL8593178174.5
Jun 23, 2026NYL@LVA8776163177.5
Averages86.084.5170.5176.0