New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 30, 2026
Final · WNBA · Tip-off 10:00 PM ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Final Total: 203
Market total moved 182.5 → 182.5 (no move) from open to tip-off.
over — the New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces combined for 203, over the 182.5 total.
Game Recap
A'ja Wilson and Jackie Young carried Las Vegas past New York in a fourth-quarter shootout, combining for 62 points as the Aces escaped with a 104-99 victory. The deciding margin emerged in the second half, where the two teams combined for 107 points across 24 minutes—a stark flip from the first half's deliberate 96-point pace. The fourth quarter proved most critical: both sides poured in 54 combined points, with Wilson finishing with 33 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists, while Young added 29 points and 9 assists to seal the result.
New York's Breanna Stewart led the Liberty with 26 points and 11 rebounds, and Pauline Astier chipped in 19 points with 4 assists, but they couldn't match the Aces' closing punch. The contest landed at 203 combined points, well above the 182.5 market total—an over by 20.5 that came after the teams had combined for a modest 53 points in the first quarter and just 43 in the second. DAGGER's pregame lean on the under missed, but a live adjustment during play cashed. Las Vegas had allowed 92.7 per game to opponents over the past ten contests, yet the Liberty fell just short of exploiting that vulnerability despite their own recent 90.7 scoring average.
Box Score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 99 | |
| 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 104 |
Top Performers
| # | Player | Pos | Team | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #30 | Breanna Stewart | F | 26 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| #18 | Pauline Astier | G | 19 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| #20 | Sabrina Ionescu | G | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| #22 | A'ja Wilson | C | 33 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| #0 | Jackie Young | G | 29 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| #12 | Chelsea Gray | G | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Over/Under Line Movement
Recent Team Form
| Team | Scored | Allowed |
|---|---|---|
| 90.7 | 92.7 | |
| 93.3 | 87.9 | |
| Scored sum | 184.0 | vs 182.5(+1.5) |
| Allowed sum | 180.6 | vs 182.5(-1.9) |
Previous Matchups
| Date | Matchup | Away | Home | Total | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | 85 | 93 | 178 | 174.5 | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 87 | 76 | 163 | 177.5 | |
| Averages | 86.0 | 84.5 | 170.5 | 176.0 | |