Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Final Score & Over/Under Result — Aug 7, 2026

Two low-scoring affairs between these teams this season had set wildly different expectations: a 135-point slugfest in July became a 179-point track meet just two days later. When they met again in Connecticut, the script flipped entirely—this one landed far below either precedent.

Phoenix's opening barrage set an aggressive tone, combining for 45 points in the first quarter, but the pace collapsed sharply. The second quarter saw just 27 combined points as both offenses sputtered, and the third quarter proved even more anemic at 26 combined. By halftime, the game had already settled into a 72-72 stalemate, with Phoenix's Kelsey Plum (25 pts, 3 ast) driving most of the visiting team's early punch. Connecticut stayed within arm's reach behind Kennedy Burke (15 pts) and Aaliyah Edwards (14 pts, 8 reb), but neither team found rhythm until late.

The fourth quarter finally ignited with 49 combined points, yet it came too late to overcome the three-quarter lull. Connecticut ultimately escaped 75–72, powered down the stretch by Edwards's rebounding and Kahleah Copper's (16 pts, 4 ast) supplementary scoring. The final combined total of 147 landed well under the 173.5 market line—a 26.5-point miss for the over. DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed decisively.