New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Final Score & Over/Under Result — Aug 11, 2026

Indiana's defensive clamp in the second half proved decisive. After a frenetic first half that saw the teams combine for 110 points—with Q2 delivering the game's highest-scoring quarter at 58 combined—the pace collapsed dramatically. The second half yielded just 88 combined points, Q3 and Q4 each producing only 44, as the Fever's defense tightened and New York's offense stalled. Indiana won 106–92, securing the combined total of 198, which landed 7.5 points over the 190.5 market total.

Kelsey Mitchell led the Fever with 28 points, while Caitlin Clark added 22 points and a game-high 10 assists. Aliyah Boston contributed 19 points and 7 rebounds. For the Liberty, Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu each scored 19 points, with Stewart grabbing 7 rebounds and Ionescu dishing 5 assists. Jonquel Jones chipped in 14 points and 10 rebounds but couldn't spark a late run.

The second-half defensive intensity marked a sharp departure from recent form: Indiana has allowed 91.9 per game over its last 10, while New York has scored 97.7. The two teams split their season series—Indiana dominated earlier, 108–83 (total 158)—but this result echoed a prior high-scoring meeting that finished at 196. DAGGER's pregame call for an under missed, but the model caught the turn live and hit on the actual flow.