Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Final Score & Over/Under Result — Dec 12, 2025

The market opened at 228.5, but Minnesota and Golden State had other ideas about pace and spacing from the first possession. The Timberwolves and Warriors combined for 55 points in Q1, immediately signaling a slower, more deliberate tempo than projected. That trend accelerated in Q2, where the two teams suddenly caught fire and combined for 69 points—the game's highest-scoring quarter—to push the halftime combined total to 124, still 4.5 shy of the pregame line's pace.

The second half followed a familiar pattern. Q3 brought a sharp deceleration to just 55 combined points, but Minnesota closed with a 39-point fourth quarter to seize control. Julius Randle led the Timberwolves with 27 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists, while Rudy Gobert added 24 points and 14 boards. For Golden State, Stephen Curry's 39-point night—5 rebounds and 5 assists—kept the Warriors competitive, yet couldn't overcome Donte DiVincenzo's steady 21 points off the bench. The final combined total landed at 247, sailing 18.5 points over the market total. DAGGER's pregame lean toward the under missed decisively, as Minnesota's fourth-quarter surge and Golden State's late offensive output pushed the game well beyond pregame expectations despite the sluggish opening two quarters.