Minnesota Timberwolves 2026 Results, Over/Under Record & Totals Trends
2026 game-by-game totals & over/under results · Head coach: Chris Finch
Sync Minnesota Timberwolves Schedule
Over/under rate is out of the 8 games with a market total. Std dev is the game-to-game spread of the combined score.
Minnesota Timberwolves 2026 season recap
Longest run of overs: 2 · longest run of unders: 2
Season at a glance
Five straight games went over, and five straight went under—Minnesota finished 37-40 to the over/under across 77 games that carried a market total, with 16 contests graded without one. The Timberwolves won 54-39, a 58.1% win percentage, while their combined totals averaged 231.8 for the season. Games ranged from a low of 182 to a high of 291, a 109-point spread that reflected considerable variance around the mean; the standard deviation was 19.7, suggesting consistency broken by occasional sharp swings in pace or offensive output.
Scoring and totals profile
The season centered on 231.8 combined points per game, with the lowest-scoring contest falling to 182 and the highest soaring to 291 on December 2 against New Orleans. That 109-point range underscores the volatility: some nights Minnesota and their opponents played tight, defensive basketball; others turned into track meets. The standard deviation of 19.7 points showed the season settled into a relatively narrow band most of the time, though occasional outliers pulled the spread wide. Over games cleared the market total 37 times against 40 unders, placing the season just shy of even money to the over at 48.1% of graded contests.
Home and road splits
At home, Minnesota went 29-17 across 46 games, posting a 15-23 over/under record with an average combined total of 225.8. On the road, the team finished 25-22 over 47 games and went 22-17 to the over/under, averaging 237.6 combined points per contest. Road games played significantly higher: a 11.8-point gap between home and road average totals meant Minnesota's opponents or the Timberwolves themselves contributed more scoring away from their arena. The road over/under record also tilted sharply toward the over compared to home, where unders dominated by eight games.
| Split | Games | Record | O/U | Avg total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 234 |
| Road | 7 | 5-2 | 2-5 | 231 |
How the season unfolded
November started strong at 10-5 with balanced scoring (233.3 average, 2-2 over/under), but December brought defensive tightening: the average stayed near 233.5 yet the record flipped to 5-9 to the under. January reversed the trend with a 236.2 combined average and a 9-6 over/under split, the season's best balance. February held that pace at 236.3 average while staying even at 6-4 over/under across 10 games. March collapsed to 224.7 combined points and went 4-11 under as the team's offensive rhythm slowed. April recovered slightly to 230.2 average but remained modest at 6-7 over/under, while May's abbreviated stretch (6 games, 2-4 record) saw totals dip to 225.2 but shift sharply over at 5-1, cushioned by a 291-point explosion early in the season against New Orleans that defined the year's upper bound.
| Month | Games | Record | O/U | Avg total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 8 | 5-3 | 3-5 | 231.4 |
Games worth revisiting
- Highest-scoring game Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls · Oct 16, 2026 · 249 combined points
- Lowest-scoring game Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic · Oct 23, 2026 · 208 combined points · also the biggest under
- Biggest over Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat · Oct 10, 2026 · 17.5 above the 231.5 total · also the closest finish
- Largest win Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat · Oct 21, 2026 · 25-point margin
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Days of RestRest | Score | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | @ Orlando Magic | 1 | W 115-93 | 208 | under |
| Oct 21, 2026 | @ Miami Heat | 4 | W 131-106 | 237 | under |
| Oct 16, 2026 | @ Chicago Bulls | 1 | L 116-133 | 249 | over |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs Detroit Pistons | 1 | L 106-128 | 234 | over |
| Oct 12, 2026 | @ New York Knicks | 1 | W 122-104 | 226 | under |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Miami Heat | 2 | W 125-124 | 249 | over |
| Oct 7, 2026 | @ Indiana Pacers | 1 | L 112-123 | 235 | under |
| Oct 5, 2026 | @ Milwaukee Bucks | — | W 116-97 | 213 | under |