Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Final Score & Over/Under Result — Dec 15, 2025

The 233.5 market total looked vulnerable from the opening tip. Miami and Toronto combined for just 45 points in the first quarter, immediately signaling a slower pace than oddsmakers had priced, and the two teams never fully caught up to that number despite a late-game rally. The Raptors' 106-96 victory finished well below the closing line, landing at 202 combined points—a 31.5-point shortfall that DAGGER identified pregame and cashed on the UNDER.

The second quarter proved the game's most active stretch, with 53 combined points keeping the pace marginally closer to expectations. But Toronto's defense tightened in the third, when Miami managed only 25 points despite the Raptors adding 28 of their own. The final quarter was no exception to the sluggish pattern: 51 combined points meant neither team broke free. Brandon Ingram led the Raptors with 28 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists, while Scottie Barnes added 17 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists. Bam Adebayo led Miami with 20 points and 10 rebounds; Norman Powell chipped in 20 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists. Immanuel Quickley (15 pts, 4 reb, 4 ast) and Davion Mitchell (12 pts, 4 reb, 4 ast) rounded out the scoring. The second half's 104 combined points mirrored the first half's 98, indicating neither team found offensive rhythm as the game wore on—a blueprint for unders.