Miami Heat 2026 Results, Over/Under Record & Totals Trends
2026 game-by-game totals & over/under results · Head coach: Erik Spoelstra
Over/under rate is out of the 63 games with a market total (19 without a market total excluded). Std dev is the game-to-game spread of the combined score.
Miami Heat 2026 season recap
Longest run of overs: 5 · longest run of unders: 6
Season at a glance
239.7 combined points per game marked Miami's season average—a middling total that reflected an evenly split year in both wins and overs. The Heat finished 42-40 and went 36-27 to the over/under across the 63 games with a market total, meaning slightly more than half their games cleared the line. Nineteen games carried no published market total. The combined scores ranged from a low of 194 to a high of 288, a 94-point spread that underscored inconsistency in how their matchups unfolded.
Scoring and totals profile
Combined totals varied substantially from game to game, with a standard deviation of 20.5 points. The gap between Miami's lowest-scoring and highest-scoring contests—a 94-point swing from 194 to 288—illustrated the breadth of outcomes. Over the 63 graded games, 57.1% went over the market total. The longest stretch of consecutive overs reached 5 games; the longest under streak extended to 6 straight. April 4 against Washington produced the season's highest combined total at 288 points, while February 6 at Boston saw the lowest at 194, which also marked the biggest miss to the under side.
Home and road splits
Miami's home record stood at 25-15 across 40 games, with a 19-12 over/under split and an average combined total of 242.2. On the road, the Heat went 17-25 in 42 games while posting a 17-15 over/under record and averaging 237.5 combined points. Home games consistently produced higher-scoring affairs than road contests, a gap of 4.7 points per game in Miami's favor at home. The Heat were more successful picking up overs at home in proportional terms, though their road over/under win percentage remained competitive.
| Split | Games | Record | O/U | Avg total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40 | 25-15 | 19-12 | 242.2 |
| Road | 42 | 17-25 | 17-15 | 237.5 |
How the season unfolded
October brought no market totals across the Heat's five games, which they split 3-2. November delivered 15 games with a 10-5 record and a 242.5 average combined total, though the over/under split was tight at 1-2. December reversed course: the team fell to 5-8 while combined totals dipped to 233.5 and the over/under reached 5-8. January saw 17 games and a shift toward overs, with an even 8-9 record and a 9-7 over/under split at 237.3 points per game. February remained flat at 5-5 with an even 5-5 over/under across 231.6 combined points. March accelerated: 10-4 over/under across an average of 243.1 combined points. April peaked at 256.0 combined points per game, though Miami finished 3-4 with a dominant 6-1 over/under record.
| Month | Games | Record | O/U | Avg total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 5 | 3-2 | — | 239.4 |
| November | 15 | 10-5 | 1-2 | 242.5 |
| December | 13 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 233.5 |
| January | 17 | 8-9 | 9-7 | 237.3 |
| February | 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 231.6 |
| March | 15 | 8-7 | 10-4 | 243.1 |
| April | 7 | 3-4 | 6-1 | 256 |
Games worth revisiting
- Highest-scoring game Washington Wizards at Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2026 · 288 combined points
- Lowest-scoring game Miami Heat at Boston Celtics · Feb 6, 2026 · 194 combined points · also the biggest under
- Biggest over Boston Celtics at Miami Heat · Apr 1, 2026 · 45.5 above the 230.5 total
- Largest win Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls · Nov 21, 2025 · 36-point margin
- Closest finish Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets · Apr 14, 2026 · 1-point margin
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Days of RestRest | Score | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ Charlotte Hornets | 1 | L 126-127 | 253 | over |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Atlanta Hawks | 1 | W 143-117 | 260 | over |
| Apr 10, 2026 | @ Washington Wizards | 0 | W 140-117 | 257 | over |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Toronto Raptors | 1 | L 114-128 | 242 | over |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ Toronto Raptors | 2 | L 95-121 | 216 | under |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Washington Wizards | 2 | W 152-136 | 288 | over |
| Apr 1, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | 1 | L 129-147 | 276 | over |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs Philadelphia 76ers | 0 | W 119-109 | 228 | under |
| Mar 29, 2026 | @ Indiana Pacers | 1 | L 118-135 | 253 | over |
| Mar 27, 2026 | @ Cleveland Cavaliers | 1 | L 128-149 | 277 | over |
| Mar 25, 2026 | @ Cleveland Cavaliers | 1 | W 120-103 | 223 | under |
| Mar 23, 2026 | vs San Antonio Spurs | 1 | L 111-136 | 247 | over |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ Houston Rockets | 1 | L 122-123 | 245 | over |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs Los Angeles Lakers | 1 | L 126-134 | 260 | over |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ Charlotte Hornets | 2 | L 106-136 | 242 | over |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Orlando Magic | 1 | L 117-121 | 238 | over |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs Milwaukee Bucks | 1 | W 112-105 | 217 | under |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Washington Wizards | 1 | W 150-129 | 279 | over |
| Mar 8, 2026 | vs Detroit Pistons | 1 | W 121-110 | 231 | over |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Charlotte Hornets | 0 | W 128-120 | 248 | over |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs Brooklyn Nets | 1 | W 126-110 | 236 | — |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Brooklyn Nets | 2 | W 124-98 | 222 | under |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Houston Rockets | 1 | W 115-105 | 220 | under |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 1 | L 117-124 | 241 | over |
| Feb 24, 2026 | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 2 | L 117-128 | 245 | over |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 0 | W 136-120 | 256 | over |
| Feb 20, 2026 | @ Atlanta Hawks | 7+ | W 128-97 | 225 | under |
| Feb 11, 2026 | @ New Orleans Pelicans | 1 | W 123-111 | 234 | over |
| Feb 9, 2026 | vs Utah Jazz | 0 | L 111-115 | 226 | under |
| Feb 8, 2026 | @ Washington Wizards | 1 | W 132-101 | 233 | under |
| Feb 6, 2026 | @ Boston Celtics | 2 | L 96-98 | 194 | under |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vs Atlanta Hawks | 2 | L 115-127 | 242 | over |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vs Chicago Bulls | 1 | L 118-125 | 243 | over |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Chicago Bulls | 0 | W 116-113 | 229 | under |
| Jan 28, 2026 | vs Orlando Magic | 2 | L 124-133 | 257 | over |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @ Phoenix Suns | 0 | W 111-102 | 213 | under |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @ Utah Jazz | 1 | W 147-116 | 263 | over |
| Jan 22, 2026 | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 1 | L 110-127 | 237 | over |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ Sacramento Kings | 0 | W 130-117 | 247 | over |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Golden State Warriors | 1 | L 112-135 | 247 | — |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 1 | W 122-120 | 242 | over |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | 1 | L 114-119 | 233 | under |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Phoenix Suns | 1 | W 127-121 | 248 | over |
| Jan 11, 2026 | @ Oklahoma City Thunder | 0 | L 112-124 | 236 | over |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Indiana Pacers | 3 | L 99-123 | 222 | under |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 1 | L 94-122 | 216 | under |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs New Orleans Pelicans | 0 | W 125-106 | 231 | under |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 1 | L 115-125 | 240 | over |
| Jan 1, 2026 | @ Detroit Pistons | 2 | W 118-112 | 230 | under |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Denver Nuggets | 1 | W 147-123 | 270 | over |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Indiana Pacers | 0 | W 142-116 | 258 | over |
| Dec 26, 2025 | @ Atlanta Hawks | 2 | W 126-111 | 237 | under |
| Dec 23, 2025 | vs Toronto Raptors | 1 | L 91-112 | 203 | under |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ New York Knicks | 1 | L 125-132 | 257 | over |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @ Boston Celtics | 0 | L 116-129 | 245 | over |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @ Brooklyn Nets | 2 | W 106-95 | 201 | under |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs Toronto Raptors | 5 | L 96-106 | 202 | under |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Orlando Magic | 2 | L 108-117 | 225 | under |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Sacramento Kings | 0 | L 111-127 | 238 | under |
| Dec 5, 2025 | @ Orlando Magic | 1 | L 105-106 | 211 | under |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @ Dallas Mavericks | 1 | L 108-118 | 226 | under |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs Los Angeles Clippers | 1 | W 140-123 | 263 | over |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Detroit Pistons | 2 | L 135-138 | 273 | over |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Milwaukee Bucks | 1 | W 106-103 | 209 | under |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Dallas Mavericks | 0 | W 106-102 | 208 | under |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 1 | W 127-117 | 244 | — |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ Chicago Bulls | 1 | W 143-107 | 250 | — |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs Golden State Warriors | 1 | W 110-96 | 206 | — |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vs New York Knicks | 2 | W 115-113 | 228 | — |
| Nov 14, 2025 | @ New York Knicks | 1 | L 132-140 | 272 | — |
| Nov 12, 2025 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1 | L 116-130 | 246 | — |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1 | W 140-138 | 278 | — |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Portland Trail Blazers | 0 | W 136-131 | 267 | — |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vs Charlotte Hornets | 1 | W 126-108 | 234 | — |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @ Denver Nuggets | 1 | L 112-122 | 234 | — |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Los Angeles Clippers | 0 | W 120-119 | 239 | — |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 2 | L 120-130 | 250 | — |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ San Antonio Spurs | 1 | L 101-107 | 208 | — |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Charlotte Hornets | 1 | W 144-117 | 261 | — |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs New York Knicks | 1 | W 115-107 | 222 | — |
| Oct 24, 2025 | @ Memphis Grizzlies | 1 | W 146-114 | 260 | — |
| Oct 22, 2025 | @ Orlando Magic | — | L 121-125 | 246 | — |