Miami Heat logoMiami Heat 2026 Results, Over/Under Record & Totals Trends

2026 game-by-game totals & over/under results · Head coach: Erik Spoelstra

Sync Miami Heat Schedule

3-5
Record
Win 37.5%
5-2
Over / Under
Over 71.4%Under 28.6%
244.1
Avg total
Low 225High 272
Std dev ±14.1

Over/under rate is out of the 7 games with a market total (1 without a market total excluded). Std dev is the game-to-game spread of the combined score.

Miami Heat 2026 season recap

Longest run of overs: 4 · longest run of unders: 1

Season at a glance

239.7 combined points per game marked Miami's season average—a middling total that reflected an evenly split year in both wins and overs. The Heat finished 42-40 and went 36-27 to the over/under across the 63 games with a market total, meaning slightly more than half their games cleared the line. Nineteen games carried no published market total. The combined scores ranged from a low of 194 to a high of 288, a 94-point spread that underscored inconsistency in how their matchups unfolded.

Scoring and totals profile

Combined totals varied substantially from game to game, with a standard deviation of 20.5 points. The gap between Miami's lowest-scoring and highest-scoring contests—a 94-point swing from 194 to 288—illustrated the breadth of outcomes. Over the 63 graded games, 57.1% went over the market total. The longest stretch of consecutive overs reached 5 games; the longest under streak extended to 6 straight. April 4 against Washington produced the season's highest combined total at 288 points, while February 6 at Boston saw the lowest at 194, which also marked the biggest miss to the under side.

Home and road splits

Miami's home record stood at 25-15 across 40 games, with a 19-12 over/under split and an average combined total of 242.2. On the road, the Heat went 17-25 in 42 games while posting a 17-15 over/under record and averaging 237.5 combined points. Home games consistently produced higher-scoring affairs than road contests, a gap of 4.7 points per game in Miami's favor at home. The Heat were more successful picking up overs at home in proportional terms, though their road over/under win percentage remained competitive.

SplitGamesRecordO/UAvg total
Home52-34-1248.6
Road31-21-1236.7

How the season unfolded

October brought no market totals across the Heat's five games, which they split 3-2. November delivered 15 games with a 10-5 record and a 242.5 average combined total, though the over/under split was tight at 1-2. December reversed course: the team fell to 5-8 while combined totals dipped to 233.5 and the over/under reached 5-8. January saw 17 games and a shift toward overs, with an even 8-9 record and a 9-7 over/under split at 237.3 points per game. February remained flat at 5-5 with an even 5-5 over/under across 231.6 combined points. March accelerated: 10-4 over/under across an average of 243.1 combined points. April peaked at 256.0 combined points per game, though Miami finished 3-4 with a dominant 6-1 over/under record.

MonthGamesRecordO/UAvg total
October83-55-2244.1

Games worth revisiting

Game log

DateOpponentRestScoreTotalO/U
Oct 24, 2026@ Charlotte Hornets0L 110-115225under
Oct 23, 2026vs Detroit Pistons1L 111-128239over
Oct 21, 2026vs Minnesota Timberwolves4L 106-131237under
Oct 16, 2026@ Orlando Magic1L 115-136251over
Oct 14, 2026vs Brooklyn Nets3W 144-128272over
Oct 10, 2026vs Minnesota Timberwolves1L 124-125249over
Oct 8, 2026vs New Orleans Pelicans4W 128-118246over
Oct 3, 2026@ Toronto Raptors—W 129-105234—