Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Final Score & Over/Under Result — Dec 17, 2025

The 226.5 market total looked vulnerable from the opening quarter, and Memphis's methodical road performance confirmed it. The Grizzlies and Timberwolves combined for 56 points in Q1, a subdued start that set the tone for a defensive grind. Minnesota's recent form—119.3 points per game over its last 10—suggested offensive firepower, but the second quarter's 67-combined points proved to be the only explosive stretch of the night. That Q2 burst pushed the halves to a 1st-half combined 123, but the second half belonged entirely to the under: Q3 yielded just 48 combined points, the lowest of the game, and Q4's 55 kept the lid firmly on as Memphis pulled away.

Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies' balanced attack with 28 points, 12 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Jock Landale chipped in 20 points and 10 rebounds off the bench. Julius Randle paced Minnesota with 21 points, and Rudy Gobert added 16 points and 16 rebounds in a losing effort. Donte DiVincenzo's 19 points and 11 rebounds kept the Timberwolves competitive, but Memphis's 116–110 final margin sealed a combined 226—a half-point under the number. DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed, correctly reading Memphis's recent defensive profile (111.6 allowed per game) as the crucial edge in a game that never quite reached the market's explosive threshold.