Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Final Score & Over/Under Result — Dec 27, 2025

The market had set this one at 233.5, but the Pacers and Heat began painting a higher-scoring picture from the jump. Miami's opening quarter netted 29 points while Indiana matched with 28, combining for 57 in the first twelve minutes—already trending toward the over. The second quarter followed suit at 62 combined, pushing the halftime total to 119 and keeping the game on pace to exceed the number.

Indiana's offensive firepower centered on Pascal Siakam's 33 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists, complemented by Bennedict Mathurin's 25 points and 6 boards, while Andrew Nembhard orchestrated the offense with 15 points and 16 assists. Miami's scoring load was distributed more evenly: Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Andrew Wiggins each posted 28 points with 6 rebounds, while Norman Powell added 23 points and 5 boards. The third quarter exploded to 73 combined points—the game's highest-scoring frame—as Miami's 39 points and Indiana's 34 pushed the total well into over territory. A quieter fourth quarter (66 combined) couldn't slow the final outcome: Miami's 142 to Indiana's 116 produced a 258 combined total, crushing the 233.5 line by 24.5 points. DAGGER's pregame call leaned under and missed decisively.