Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 1, 2026

Final · NBA · Tip-off 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Miami Heat logoMIA19-15
118-112

Final Total: 230

Detroit Pistons logoDET25-9
Pregame Total Line
235.5
UNDER
DAGGER Pregame Pick
UNDER
DAGGER Live Signals
No Signals

under — the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons combined for 230, under the 235.5 total.

Game Recap

Norman Powell's 36-point explosion powered Miami past Detroit, but the offensive fireworks never materialized at the pace oddsmakers anticipated. The Heat edged the Pistons 118–112 with a combined 230 points—5.5 below the 235.5 market total—as DAGGER's pregame lean to the under cashed cleanly.

The game's opening quarter hinted at a potential shootout, with the teams combining for 59 points in Q1 alone. Powell set the tone early for Miami, while Cade Cunningham orchestrated Detroit's offense with 31 points, 8 rebounds, and 11 assists. But the pace cooled substantially afterward. The second and third quarters each featured just 58 combined points, and the fourth dropped further to 55, as both teams tightened their defensive efforts. Miami's first half combined with Detroit for 117 points; the second half yielded only 113. Jaime Jaquez Jr. chipped in 19 points and 5 assists for the Heat, and Andrew Wiggins added 17 points and 8 rebounds, yet the cumulative output fell short of the pregame projection. Marcus Sasser (18 points) and Jalen Duren (12 points, 5 rebounds) provided secondary scoring for Detroit, though Cunningham's dominance couldn't prevent the loss. Given Miami's recent form of 116.8 points per game and Detroit's defensive struggles allowing 111.2, the under proved prescient—the teams simply couldn't sustain the Q1 intensity across 48 minutes.

Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat33303124118
Detroit Pistons26282731112

Top Performers

#PlayerPosTeamPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PM
#24Norman PowellGMIA3622107
#11Jaime Jaquez Jr.GMIA1935200
#22Andrew WigginsFMIA1781201
#2Cade CunninghamGDET31811322
#25Marcus SasserGDET1842204
#0Jalen DurenCDET1250100

Recent Team Form

TeamScoredAllowed
MIAaway(10)116.8116.8
DEThome(10)120.6111.2
Scored sum237.4vs 235.5(+1.9)
Allowed sum228.0vs 235.5(-7.5)

Previous Matchups

1 Over0 Under
DateMatchupAwayHomeTotalLine
Nov 29, 2025DET@MIA138135273239.5
Averages138.0135.0273.0239.5