Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 16, 2026

Minnesota's explosive first quarter—63 combined points between the teams—set the tone for a game that never quite reached the offensive expectations baked into the 221.5 market total. The Timberwolves opened with 34 points to Houston's 29, but that early pace proved unsustainable. The second quarter ground to a halt, with just 45 combined points as both offenses sputtered, and by the time Houston held off Minnesota's late push in the fourth—a quarter that saw only 52 combined points—the Rockets had secured a 110-105 victory while the game's combined total settled at 215, a 6.5-point miss to the under.

Julius Randle led Minnesota with 39 points on a dominant scoring night, while Naz Reid added 25 points and 9 rebounds to fuel the Timberwolves' attack. Kevin Durant answered for Houston with 39 points and 7 assists, and Alperen Sengun delivered 25 points and 14 rebounds to anchor the Rockets' interior. The second-half scoring—107 combined points across 24 minutes—reflected the defensive tightening that ultimately defined the matchup, with the third quarter (55 combined) providing the only real offensive spark after the explosive opening.

DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed. Minnesota's recent form of 124.1 points per game made the 221.5 look vulnerable, and Houston's 107.1 allowed per game in its last ten supported the thesis that this pairing would fall short of the number.