Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Final Score & Over/Under Result — Feb 20, 2026

Miami's dominance over the last month finally showed up on the road. Coming off two tightly contested matchups with Atlanta this season—a 127-115 loss in early February and a 126-111 win in late December—the Heat arrived at State Farm Arena needing to establish control early. They did, setting the tone with 29 points in the first quarter to Atlanta's 16, a 13-point opening frame that never really closed.

The Hawks clawed back in the second, but only marginally: combined scoring jumped to 63 points as Miami pushed 28 to Atlanta's 35. The half ended 108 combined, a steady burn rather than a shootout, and DAGGER's under 243.5 was tracking cleanly. The third quarter (54 combined) saw Miami's defense tighten further while the Hawks' offense sputtered to just 24 points. By the fourth, Miami had sealed it, outscoring Atlanta 41-22 to cruise to a 128-97 final. Tyler Herro led the way with 24 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Bam Adebayo contributed 17 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists. For Atlanta, Onyeka Okongwu (22 points), CJ McCollum (20 points), and Nickeil Alexander-Walker (20 points) couldn't generate enough scoring firepower.

The combined 225 fell 18.5 short of the market total, and DAGGER leaned under—and it cashed. Miami's recent form (119.3 points scored, 114.1 allowed per game) proved decisive in a defensive stand that kept Atlanta well below its season average of 116.6 points.