Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Final Score & Over/Under Result — Feb 28, 2026

Kevin Durant's 32 points, 5 rebounds, and 8 assists powered Houston's offensive effort, but it wasn't enough to overcome Miami's balanced attack in a battle that fell well short of expectations. The Rockets and Heat combined for 220 points—6.5 points under the 226.5 market total—as DAGGER's pregame call to fade the over cashed decisively.

The game's flow told the tale of an opening half that limped along. Combined scoring totaled just 103 points through 16 minutes, with Miami's 32-point first quarter giving way to a sluggish 19 points in the second. Houston matched that lethargy, posting 28 and 24 in the first two quarters respectively. The third quarter finally ignited; combined scoring jumped to 65 points—the game's high mark—as both teams found rhythm. Miami's Bam Adebayo (24 pts, 11 reb) and Pelle Larsson (20 pts, 4 reb, 4 ast) led the Heat's charge, while Amen Thompson added 20 points and 11 rebounds for Houston. But momentum stalled in the fourth. The combined 52 points in the final quarter underscored a defensive clamp-down that left the total vulnerable, even as Miami held on for a 115–105 win.

Despite Miami's recent form averaging 119.3 points scored and Houston's 110.1 per game over their last 10, both teams' offensive variance proved muted. Reed Sheppard (14 pts, 5 ast) and Tyler Herro (18 pts) rounded out the production, but the game's middle-game lull and fourth-quarter drought sealed an under outcome that rewarded caution.