Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 5, 2026

Minnesota held off Toronto 115-107, a narrow eight-point margin that masked a far tighter contest than the final tally suggests. The combined 222 points landed just 1.5 over the 220.5 market total, a result that hinged on how the two teams traded scoring throughout four quarters of uneven rhythm.

The first quarter set a frantic pace with 58 combined points, the game's highest-scoring frame. Minnesota built early momentum with 31 points to Toronto's 27, but the Raptors matched the Timberwolves' scoring nearly point-for-point in the second quarter—27 apiece—as the halves combined to 109 through two periods. The third quarter brought 57 combined points, with Minnesota's 35 pushing them further ahead of Toronto's 22, a 13-point swing that proved decisive. Toronto rallied in the fourth with 31 points to Minnesota's 25, but fell short of erasing the deficit.

DAGGER's pregame call leaned under the 220.5 line and missed the closing number by 1.5 points. The model's live adjustment, however, hit—capturing the shift in momentum as Toronto's fourth-quarter surge came up just shy of altering the total's direction. Minnesota's recent form (116.4 ppg scored) and Toronto's defense (110.9 ppg allowed) framed the pregame outlook, though this matchup proved tighter than the season series suggested—the teams' previous meeting had ballooned to 254 combined points.