Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 12, 2026

Pelle Larsson's 28 points and 6 assists powered Miami to a 112–105 victory over Milwaukee, but the result landed well short of expectations in a game that became defined by conservative offensive execution rather than the scoring barrage the market had priced in. The Heat and Bucks combined for just 217 points, an 11.5-point undercut of the 228.5 market total—a particularly stark miss given that the line had climbed to 233.5 by tipoff. DAGGER leaned over; it missed.

The second quarter provided the game's only explosive stretch, with the teams combining for 58 points in a period that Miami used to establish separation. Milwaukee kept pace early, matching Miami's 31 in the opening frame for a 52-point first quarter, and stayed competitive through halftime with the first half totaling 110 combined. But the third quarter—just 52 combined—set the tone for a second half that never recovered. The final two quarters yielded only 107 combined points, with Miami's 26-point Q3 and Milwaukee's 28-point fourth quarter insufficient to spark momentum.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee with 31 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Bobby Portis Jr. added 19 and Ryan Rollins chipped in 16 with 10 assists. For Miami, Bam Adebayo posted 21 points and 8 rebounds, and Kasparas Jakučionis contributed 18 points. The Heat's recent scoring average of 126.2 per game and Milwaukee's defensive vulnerability (allowing 119.9) had suggested a higher ceiling, but both teams settled into a rhythm that favored grind over pace.