Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 27, 2026

Final · NBA · Tip-off 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Miami Heat logoMIA39-35
128-149

Final Total: 277

Cleveland Cavaliers logoCLE46-28
Pregame Total Line
241.5
OVER
DAGGER Pregame Pick
UNDER
DAGGER Live Signals
No Signals

over — the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers combined for 277, over the 241.5 total.

Game Recap

The market opened at 241.5, but Cleveland and Miami had other plans. The first quarter set a frenetic pace—67 combined points on the board immediately, already signaling that the under was in danger. The second quarter cooled things slightly to 60 combined, keeping the game's trajectory volatile but still ahead of the pregame number. By halftime, 127 combined points had been scored, putting the game firmly in over territory with two quarters remaining.

The third quarter brought 69 combined points, maintaining momentum toward a high total. The fourth quarter exploded into the highest-scoring frame of the night with 81 combined points, blowing the market total entirely out of reach. Cleveland ultimately prevailed 149–128, with a combined 277 points landing 35.5 points over the 241.5 line. Max Strus led the Cavaliers with 29 points and 8 rebounds, while Evan Mobley added 23 points and 10 rebounds. For Miami, Jaime Jaquez Jr. finished with 20 points, 2 rebounds, and 3 assists, and Bam Adebayo contributed 14 points and 16 rebounds. DAGGER's pregame call favored the under and missed, but the model's live adjustment during the game cashed as the pace became unmistakable.

Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27194141128
Cleveland Cavaliers40412840149

Top Performers

#PlayerPosTeamPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PM
#11Jaime Jaquez Jr.GMIA2023012
#24Norman PowellGMIA1532012
#13Bam AdebayoC-FMIA14163111
#2Max StrusG-FCLE2981008
#4Evan MobleyCCLE23103101
#31Jarrett AllenCCLE18100010

Recent Team Form

TeamScoredAllowed
MIAaway(10)121.3121.7
CLEhome(10)118.1115.6
Scored sum239.4vs 241.5(-2.1)
Allowed sum237.3vs 241.5(-4.2)

Previous Matchups

0 Over1 Under
DateMatchupAwayHomeTotalLine
Mar 25, 2026MIA@CLE120103223242.5
Nov 12, 2025CLE@MIA130116246
Nov 10, 2025CLE@MIA138140278
Averages129.3119.7249.0242.5