Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Mar 27, 2026
Final · NBA · Tip-off 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
Final Total: 277
over — the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers combined for 277, over the 241.5 total.
Game Recap
The market opened at 241.5, but Cleveland and Miami had other plans. The first quarter set a frenetic pace—67 combined points on the board immediately, already signaling that the under was in danger. The second quarter cooled things slightly to 60 combined, keeping the game's trajectory volatile but still ahead of the pregame number. By halftime, 127 combined points had been scored, putting the game firmly in over territory with two quarters remaining.
The third quarter brought 69 combined points, maintaining momentum toward a high total. The fourth quarter exploded into the highest-scoring frame of the night with 81 combined points, blowing the market total entirely out of reach. Cleveland ultimately prevailed 149–128, with a combined 277 points landing 35.5 points over the 241.5 line. Max Strus led the Cavaliers with 29 points and 8 rebounds, while Evan Mobley added 23 points and 10 rebounds. For Miami, Jaime Jaquez Jr. finished with 20 points, 2 rebounds, and 3 assists, and Bam Adebayo contributed 14 points and 16 rebounds. DAGGER's pregame call favored the under and missed, but the model's live adjustment during the game cashed as the pace became unmistakable.
Box Score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 19 | 41 | 41 | 128 | |
| 40 | 41 | 28 | 40 | 149 |
Top Performers
| # | Player | Pos | Team | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #11 | Jaime Jaquez Jr. | G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| #24 | Norman Powell | G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| #13 | Bam Adebayo | C-F | 14 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| #2 | Max Strus | G-F | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| #4 | Evan Mobley | C | 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| #31 | Jarrett Allen | C | 18 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Recent Team Form
| Team | Scored | Allowed |
|---|---|---|
| 121.3 | 121.7 | |
| 118.1 | 115.6 | |
| Scored sum | 239.4 | vs 241.5(-2.1) |
| Allowed sum | 237.3 | vs 241.5(-4.2) |
Previous Matchups
| Date | Matchup | Away | Home | Total | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 120 | 103 | 223 | 242.5 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 130 | 116 | 246 | — | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 138 | 140 | 278 | — | |
| Averages | 129.3 | 119.7 | 249.0 | 242.5 | |