Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Final Score & Over/Under Result — Apr 30, 2026
Final · NBA · Tip-off 9:30 PM ET at Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Final Total: 208
Market total moved 223.5 → 223.5 (no move) from open to tip-off.
under — the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves combined for 208, under the 223.5 total.
Game Recap
The market pegged this matchup at 223.5, but Denver and Minnesota never came close to justifying that number, with the game trending under from the opening possession. The first quarter delivered 59 combined points—a brisk start that suggested the total might hold, but the second half told a different story. After a first-half combined 107 points, the teams managed just 101 in the second half, with the third quarter dropping to 49 combined and the fourth barely recovering to 52. The final tally landed at 208, a full 15.5 points under the market, and DAGGER's pregame lean on the under cashed cleanly.
The Timberwolves' defensive approach—holding opponents to 116.3 points per game over their last ten—set the tone early, and Denver couldn't find consistent offensive rhythm despite strong individual efforts. Nikola Jokić posted a near triple-double with 28 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds, while Cameron Johnson added 27 points and 8 rebounds. But Minnesota's Jaden McDaniels was the game's most dominant performer, finishing with 32 points and 10 rebounds, supported by Terrence Shannon Jr.'s 24 points and Julius Randle's 18 points and 5 assists. The Timberwolves won 110–98, securing their third straight victory over Denver this season in a matchup that proved the oddsmakers' pregame expectations for scoring were significantly inflated.
Box Score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 98 | |
| 29 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 110 |
Top Performers
| # | Player | Pos | Team | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #15 | Nikola Jokić | C | 28 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| #23 | Cameron Johnson | F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| #10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G-F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| #3 | Jaden McDaniels | F | 32 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| #1 | Terrence Shannon Jr | G-F | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| #30 | Julius Randle | F-C | 18 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Over/Under Line Movement
Recent Team Form
| Team | Scored | Allowed |
|---|---|---|
| 121.1 | 117.2 | |
| 118.2 | 116.3 | |
| Scored sum | 239.3 | vs 223.5(+15.8) |
| Allowed sum | 233.5 | vs 223.5(+10.0) |
Previous Matchups
| Date | Matchup | Away | Home | Total | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | 113 | 125 | 238 | 226.5 | |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 96 | 112 | 208 | 228.5 | |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 96 | 113 | 209 | 232.5 | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 119 | 114 | 233 | 231.5 | |
| Apr 18, 2026 | 105 | 116 | 221 | 232.5 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 117 | 108 | 225 | 240.5 | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | 138 | 142 | 280 | 238.5 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 123 | 112 | 235 | — | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 127 | 114 | 241 | — | |
| Averages | 114.9 | 117.3 | 232.2 | 232.9 | |