Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Oct 7, 2026

Indiana's superior offensive efficiency over its last ten games proved decisive as the Pacers edged Minnesota 123–112, with the combined 235 points landing just 1.5 points shy of the 236.5 market total. The Pacers, averaging 118.1 points per game recently, controlled a game that hinged on the first half's tempo; the teams combined for 126 points through two quarters, nearly half of the final total, with the second quarter alone producing 67 combined points. That scoring burst gave Indiana early momentum, though Minnesota kept the margin manageable into the third quarter when the pace slowed notably—just 64 combined points in Q3 against 67 in Q2.

Anthony Edwards led Minnesota with 19 points but managed only 1 rebound and 1 assist, a sign the Timberwolves struggled to generate the secondary contributions needed against Indiana's depth. Jaden McDaniels added 16 points and 3 rebounds, while LaMelo Ball chipped in 14 points with 7 assists. For the Pacers, Aaron Nesmith matched Edwards with 19 points, and Jay Huff supplied 16 points and 4 assists off the bench. A decisive fourth-quarter collapse by Minnesota—just 21 points compared to Indiana's 24—sealed the outcome. DAGGER leaned under, and the final combined total, despite a slight uptick in the line from 236.5 to 237.5, delivered a miss by 1.5 points.