Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Final Score & Over/Under Result — Oct 21, 2026

Anthony Edwards' dominant 45-point, 10-rebound performance powered Minnesota to a 131–106 victory over Miami, a wire-to-wire win that played decidedly below the market total. The Timberwolves controlled pace from the opening tip, combining for 66 points in the first quarter—the game's highest-scoring frame—and establishing early separation that Miami never threatened to close. Minnesota led 69–59 at halftime after the two teams combined for 128 first-half points, but the second half became a grind: the combined scoring dropped to 109 over the final 24 minutes, with Q3 yielding just 52 combined points as both offenses stalled.

Giannis Antetokounmpo countered with 35 points and 6 rebounds for Miami, while LaMelo Ball added 21 points and 6 assists and Jaden McDaniels contributed 17 points and 8 rebounds off the bench for Minnesota. Bam Adebayo (15 pts, 7 reb, 4 ast) anchored Miami's interior, but the Heat's recent form—averaging 125.8 points scored and 122.2 allowed over the last 10 games—proved insufficient against Edwards' efficiency and Minnesota's suffocating defense. The final combined total of 237 landed three and a half points under the 240.5 market total, validating DAGGER's pregame under call. Q2's 62 combined points and Q3's 52-point quarter sealed the lower-scoring affair that defied Miami's recent offensive pace.