Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jul 28, 2026

The 187.5 market total opened with immediate upside pressure: Indiana's high-volume offensive profile collided with Seattle's permissive defense in the first quarter, when 57 combined points arrived before either team could settle into rhythm. Caitlin Clark paced the Fever with 32 points, 7 assists, and 4 rebounds, while Kelsey Mitchell added 28 points, establishing Indiana as the aggressor from the tip. That scorching opening—well ahead of the 46.9-point quarterly pace the number implied—signaled the total was vulnerable to an over even as the line drifted down to 186.5 by game time.

The second quarter cooled things to 48 combined points, the slowest frame of the night, but Indiana's 21 points kept Seattle (27 in Q1) from gaining ground. Natisha Hiedeman led the Storm with 33 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists, while Flau'jae Johnson (16 points) and Awa Fam (11 points, 5 rebounds) provided secondary scoring. Indiana's third quarter dip to 18 points briefly promised defensive resistance, yet the fourth quarter resurged to 52 combined, pushing the final tally to 200—a 12.5-point overage. DAGGER's pregame under call missed, but the model pivoted to a live over as the early-quarter pace materialized, capturing the second-half volatility that sent Indiana to a 105–95 victory.