Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Final Score & Over/Under Result — Aug 5, 2026

The market total of 182.5 looked vulnerable from the opening tip, as Phoenix and Atlanta combined for 57 points in a high-scoring first quarter before the pace cooled dramatically. The Dream's defense tightened over the final three quarters, holding the Mercury to just 58 combined points across Q2–Q4 while Atlanta's own offense sputtered in the second half. The first half's 101 combined points suggested the over was in play, but a stark deceleration—just 77 combined in the second half—sent the total down to 178, finishing 4.5 points under the pregame number. DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed.

Rhyne Howard led Atlanta with 23 points, 6 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Allisha Gray added 20 points and Jordin Canada chipped in 17 as the Dream pulled away late. For Phoenix, Kelsey Plum paced the offense with 19 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists; Alyssa Thomas contributed 17 points, 5 rebounds, and 7 assists; and Kahleah Copper finished with 14 points and 5 assists. The Mercury's third consecutive road loss to Atlanta this season—they fell 82–80 in their last meeting (total 162)—underscored a growing defensive gap. Atlanta's 96-point output matched its season average of 91.2 per game, while Phoenix's 82 points fell short of its 84.3 scoring norm, a combination that proved decisive in a close battle decided by margin rather than volume.