Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Final Score & Over/Under Result — Oct 7, 2026
Final · WNBA · Tip-off 9:30 PM ET at Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Playoffs · Game 2 · GSV leads 1-0
Final Total: 164
Market total moved 156.5 → 156.5 (no move) from open to tip-off.
over — the Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries combined for 164, over the 156.5 total.
Game Recap
A'ja Wilson's 24 points and Chelsea Gray's floor management proved insufficient as the third quarter became the inflection point—the Valkyries and Aces combined for 48 points in Q3, the game's highest-scoring frame, and Golden State used that surge to build enough cushion to survive Las Vegas's late push. The home team's 24-point output in the period gave them the edge they'd need in a 83-81 finish, with Tiffany Hayes (21 points) and Gabby Williams (20 points, 5 rebounds) anchoring the effort. The Aces, riding a season average of 92.7 points per game into this matchup, found themselves trailing for much of the night before rallying—Jackie Young added 14 points and 8 assists—but couldn't quite close the gap in the fourth quarter's 43 combined points.
The first half totaled 73 combined points, a relatively contained opening as the Valkyries' recent defensive form (73.8 allowed per game) held sway. The second half unleashed 91 combined points, though, as both teams abandoned caution. Kayla Thornton contributed 16 for Golden State in the winning effort. The final margin of two points belied the game's offensive momentum—the 164 combined total sailed over the pregame market of 156.5 and delivered a decisive 7.5-point advantage to the over. DAGGER's pregame and live calls both cashed.
Box Score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 81 | |
| 19 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 83 |
Top Performers
| # | Player | Pos | Team | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #22 | A'ja Wilson | C | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| #12 | Chelsea Gray | G | 19 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| #0 | Jackie Young | G | 14 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| #15 | Tiffany Hayes | G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| #1 | Gabby Williams | F | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| #5 | Kayla Thornton | F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Over/Under Line Movement
Recent Team Form
| Team | Scored | Allowed |
|---|---|---|
| 92.7 | 80.4 | |
| 82.7 | 73.8 | |
| Scored sum | 175.4 | vs 156.5(+18.9) |
| Allowed sum | 154.2 | vs 156.5(-2.3) |
Previous Matchups
| Date | Matchup | Away | Home | Total | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | 60 | 71 | 131 | 158.5 | |
| Jun 21, 2026 | 73 | 92 | 165 | 167.5 | |
| Jun 6, 2026 | 79 | 84 | 163 | 167.5 | |
| May 31, 2026 | 91 | 81 | 172 | 168.5 | |
| Averages | 75.8 | 82.0 | 157.8 | 165.5 | |