Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 3, 2026

Minnesota's offensive firepower proved too much for Miami's defense, as the Timberwolves' 125–115 road victory pushed the combined score to 240, sending the game 4.5 points over the 235.5 market total. The contest started above the betting line immediately, with both teams combining for 52 points in the opening quarter—a pace that threatened to blow through the total early. The second quarter cooled slightly to 54 combined points, but the damage was already done; the first half landed at 106 combined, setting up a second half that would nearly guarantee the over.

The third quarter became the deciding factor, as Minnesota and Miami combined for 70 points—the game's highest-scoring frame—to extend the run well beyond the total. Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves with 33 points, 5 assists, while Naz Reid added 29 points off the bench and Julius Randle contributed 23 points and 10 rebounds. Miami's Norman Powell posted 21 points, but it was not enough to pace the Heat's offense; Davion Mitchell chipped in 14 points and 6 assists, and Nikola Jović added 14 points. The fourth quarter settled into 64 combined points, a slight deceleration that could not erase the over that had been locked in by halftime. DAGGER leaned under, and it missed.