Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 10, 2026

Indiana's 24-point road victory came down to an explosive third quarter that neither team could match in the final two periods. The Pacers' 123-99 win over Miami arrived with a combined total of 222 points, well below the 235.5 market line—a 13.5-point underperformance that DAGGER correctly anticipated with an UNDER call.

The first half proved competitive at 106 combined points, with Indiana building a modest lead behind Andrew Nembhard's floor command. Nembhard finished with 29 points, 6 rebounds, and 9 assists, orchestrating a Pacers offense that found rhythm early. Micah Potter added 14 points off the bench. Miami kept pace behind Tyler Herro's 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. chipped in 16 points and 7 rebounds. Through two quarters, neither squad had pulled decisively ahead.

The third quarter tilted the scales decisively. Indiana and Miami combined for 65 points—the game's highest-scoring frame—but Indiana's 38 to Miami's 27 gave the Pacers an insurmountable cushion. Jarace Walker's 13 points and 9 rebounds provided Indiana's interior presence. Bam Adebayo posted 13 points and 9 rebounds for Miami but couldn't spark a comeback. A sluggish fourth quarter, which saw just 51 combined points between the teams, sealed the outcome well before the final buzzer.