Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Final Score & Over/Under Result — Jan 6, 2026

The second quarter's 59-point outburst proved deceptive—it was Minnesota's stranglehold in the final 24 minutes that ultimately buried Miami. The Timberwolves held the Heat to just 40 combined points over the third and fourth quarters, while the second half as a whole tilted dramatically toward the under: 101 combined points after a relatively brisk 115 in the opening half. Miami's offense collapsed down the stretch, scoring only 23 in the third quarter and 17 in the fourth, unable to keep pace as Minnesota controlled pace and tempo en route to a 122-94 victory.

Anthony Edwards led the charge with 26 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Jaden McDaniels added 19 points. Julius Randle chipped in 15 points and 11 rebounds to anchor Minnesota's interior control. For Miami, Norman Powell's 21 points and Tyler Herro's 17 came too early in the game to matter; the Heat's offensive engine sputtered badly once Minnesota tightened its defense and slowed the pace.

The combined total of 216 fell well short of the 238.5 market line, settling 22.5 points under. DAGGER leaned under, and it cashed decisively. Minnesota's recent defensive profile (114.9 allowed per game) proved prophetic, especially in a second half where Miami managed just 40 points across 24 minutes—a stark divergence from the Heat's season-long 121.1 scoring average.